Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.008135 0.009155 0.010271 0.011584 0.013091 0.014770 0.016789
2025-01-12 0.006275 0.007598 0.009170 0.011188 0.013724 0.016830 0.020952
2025-01-19 0.005271 0.006692 0.008474 0.010896 0.014134 0.018362 0.024380
2025-01-26 0.004671 0.006162 0.008116 0.010899 0.014816 0.020218 0.028379
2025-02-02 0.004376 0.005972 0.008148 0.011383 0.016155 0.023075 0.034132
2025-02-09 0.003971 0.005574 0.007833 0.011314 0.016658 0.024753 0.038332
2025-02-16 0.003684 0.005308 0.007665 0.011421 0.017408 0.026857 0.043465
2025-02-23 0.003372 0.004969 0.007350 0.011256 0.017693 0.028231 0.047553
2025-03-02 0.003179 0.004789 0.007252 0.011410 0.018493 0.030523 0.053544
2025-03-09 0.002959 0.004544 0.007027 0.011329 0.018877 0.032133 0.058511
2025-03-16 0.002684 0.004191 0.006596 0.010855 0.018519 0.032371 0.060885
2025-03-23 0.002521 0.004004 0.006419 0.010797 0.018890 0.033969 0.066164
2025-03-30 0.002462 0.003991 0.006543 0.011300 0.020383 0.037953 0.077194
2025-04-06 0.002255 0.003713 0.006192 0.010911 0.020153 0.038560 0.081150
2025-04-13 0.002087 0.003488 0.005913 0.010627 0.020090 0.039483 0.085958
2025-04-20 0.001978 0.003358 0.005793 0.010630 0.020597 0.041655 0.094066
2025-04-27 0.001944 0.003359 0.005909 0.011101 0.022120 0.046233 0.108926
2025-05-04 0.001841 0.003226 0.005763 0.011034 0.022491 0.048284 0.117792
2025-05-11 0.001768 0.003142 0.005705 0.011138 0.023246 0.051326 0.129912
2025-05-18 0.001670 0.003004 0.005529 0.010978 0.023384 0.052908 0.138317
2025-05-25 0.001614 0.002943 0.005500 0.011128 0.024252 0.056410 0.153002
2025-06-01 0.001537 0.002836 0.005372 0.011048 0.024570 0.058562 0.164145
2025-06-08 0.001427 0.002657 0.005083 0.010588 0.023913 0.058084 0.167025